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Inflation first. Jobs next. This could be a big week for the Fed narrative.
PCE and payrolls are two reports I’ll be watching together rather than separately. PCE tells us whether inflation pressure is improving, while payrolls give us a clearer picture of how much strength is left in the labor market.
Personally, I think the most interesting scenario would be sticky inflation combined with strong jobs. That would make it much harder for the Fed to justify easing policy anytime soon. On the other hand, softer inflation together with weaker hiring could completely change the rate conversation again.
For BTC and equities, I’m less interested in guessing each number and more interested in how Treasury yields and the dollar react once both reports are out.
One report can create a headline.
Two reports pointing in the same direction can change the whole macro story. 👀
This week, I’m watching the combination not just the individual numbers.
#PCEAndPayrollsWeek $BTC
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